Tracing the income-fertility nexus: Nonparametric Estimates for a Panel of Countries
Tracing the income-fertility nexus: Nonparametric Estimates for a Panel of Countries
复制标题
追踪收入与生育率的关系：一组国家的非参数估计
DOI：
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发表时间：
2002
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Siddiqui Sikandar
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
H. Strulik;Siddiqui Sikandar
我们在109个国家的数据集上应用核回归的非参数方法来估计经济转型过程中的收入生育率关系。结果表明，人均收入存在一个临界水平，超过这个水平，生育率会随着收入的增加而呈指数下降。由于收入水平低于生育率，生育率保持在较高水平，生育率与收入的关系微不足道。关键收入门槛随着时间的推移而变化，在较近的时期较低，这表明正在调查的关系发生了重大结构性变化。
We apply the a nonparametric method of kernel regression on a dataset for 109 countries to estimate the income fertility nexus in demo-economic transition. The results suggest the existence of a critical level of per capita income above which fertility decreases exponentially with rising income. For income levels below fertility stays on a high level and its relation to income is of minor significance. The critical income threshold changes over time and is lower for more recent periods, which gives evidence of major structural shifts in the relationship under investigation.