Unemployment Benefits, Unemployment Duration, and Post-Unemployment Jobs: A Regression Discontinuity Approach

Unemployment Benefits, Unemployment Duration, and Post-Unemployment Jobs: A Regression Discontinuity Approach
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失业救济金、失业持续时间和失业后工作:断点回归方法

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发表时间:
2007
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
R. Lalive
R. Lalive
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作者:
R. Lalive

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在经济合作与发展组织(经合组织)国家,结构性失业似乎与失业的潜在持续时间密切相关(Stephen Nickell和Richard Layard,1999年)。其想法是,延长福利期限会阻碍求职,从而导致长期失业。在本文中,我建议通过研究奥地利失业保险制度中嵌入的50岁时福利持续时间的不连续变化来测试这一想法。特别是,在50岁或50岁以上失业并满足以前工作要求的求职者有资格获得52周的延长福利,而不是39周。此外,由于国有钢铁行业的特殊重组要求,奥地利暂时实施了一项区域延长福利计划(REBP),涵盖50岁或以上失业的求职者,他们在奥地利某些地区居住至少六个月,并满足以前的工作要求。这些人有资格领取209周的福利,而不是39周。奥地利失业保险规则创造了一个丰富的设计,使我们能够研究在被排除在延长福利计划之外的地区,福利小幅增加13周(39至52周)和在可获得延长福利计划的地区,福利大幅延长170周(39至209周)的影响。由于这些福利权利规则在年龄上是不连续的,因此可以在回归不连续性框架中确定相应的因果影响。本文有助于两股的文献。第一部分是关于衡量潜在的福利持续时间对失业持续时间的影响。最近的贡献,这方面的文献包括大卫卡失业救济金,失业持续时间,失业后的工作:一个回归不连续的方法
Structural unemployment appears to be strongly correlated with the potential duration of unemployment across Organization for Eco­ nomic Co­operation and Development (OECD) countries (Stephen Nickell and Richard Layard 1999). The idea is that extended benefit duration discourages searching for a job and thus leads to prolonged unemployment. In this paper, I propose testing this idea by studying discontinuous changes in benefit dura­ tion at the age of 50, which are embedded in the Austrian unemployment insurance system. In particular, job seekers who become unem­ ployed at 50 years of age or older and satisfy a previous work requirement are eligible for 52 weeks of extended benefits rather than 39 weeks. Moreover, due to special restructuring demands in the state­owned steel sector, Austria temporarily implemented a regional extended benefit program (REBP) covering job seekers who enter unemployment at 50 years of age or older, who had been living in certain regions of Austria for at least six months, and who satisfy a previous work requirement. Those individuals were eligible for 209 weeks of benefits instead of 39 weeks. Austrian unemployment insurance rules create a rich design allowing us to study the effects of small increases in benefits by 13 weeks (39 to 52 weeks) in regions that were excluded from the extended benefit program and large benefit extensions by 170 weeks (39 weeks to 209 weeks) in regions with access to the extended benefit program. Because these benefit entitlement rules were discontinuous in age, the corresponding causal effects can be identified in a regression discontinuity framework. This paper contributes to two strands of the literature. The first strand is concerned with measuring the effects of potential benefit dura­ tion on unemployment duration. Recent con­ tributions to this literature include David Card Unemployment Benefits, Unemployment Duration, and Post-Unemployment Jobs: A Regression Discontinuity Approach
DOI: 10.1162/qjec.2007.122.4.1511
发表时间: 2007-11-01
影响因子: 13.7
作者:
Card, David;Chetty, Raj;Weber, Andrea
通讯作者: Weber, Andrea