The impact of 9/11 and other terrible global events on tourism in the United States and Hawaii.
The impact of 9/11 and other terrible global events on tourism in the United States and Hawaii.
复制标题
DOI：
10.1177/0047287506288812
复制
发表时间：
2006-01-01
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
Mak, J.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bonham, C.;Edmonds, C.;Mak, J.
本文回顾了美国和夏威夷最近的旅游趋势，以确定9/11恐怖袭击和随后的可怕的全球事件如何影响旅游流量。美国旅游业尚未从9/11和其他国际冲击中完全恢复；事实上，经济复苏可能还有很长的路要走。相比之下，夏威夷旅游业在9/11事件后增长强劲，因为来自本土游客的增长抵消了国际游客的减少。我们认为，夏威夷目前的旅游业繁荣，部分原因是美国人从国外旅游转向了国外旅游。本文展示了矢量误差校正模型对生成动态游客预测的有用性，我们使用它来确定夏威夷的旅游业是否已经从9/11和其他可怕的国际事件中完全恢复。本文考虑了促进美国国际旅游业复苏的政策选择。
This article reviews recent trends in travel and tourism in the USA and Hawaii to ascertain how the terrorist attacks of 9/11 and subsequent terrible global events affected tourism flows. US tourism has not recovered fully from 9/11 and other international shocks; indeed, recovery may be a long way off. By contrast, Hawaii tourism is enjoying robust growth in the aftermath of 9/11 as growth in tourist arrivals from the mainland has offset declines in international visitors. We suggest that Hawaii's current tourism boom is explained in part by the diversion of US travel from foreign travel. The article demonstrates the usefulness of vector error correction models to generate dynamic visitor forecasts, which we use to determine whether tourism in Hawaii has recovered fully from 9/11 and other terrible international events. The article considers policy options for facilitating the recovery of international tourism to the US.