Where To Go? Drivers of Venezuelan Asylum Seekers
Where To Go? Drivers of Venezuelan Asylum Seekers
复制标题
去哪儿？
DOI：
10.1093/jrs/fez111
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发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
Moisés Obaco
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Díaz;Andrea Bonilla;Moisés Obaco
这篇文章报道了对委内瑞拉寻求庇护者的司机的调查--由于食品和药品的稀缺以及动荡的实际社会经济状况，这些人离开了这个国家。为此，我们使用了2014-17年间委内瑞拉人申请庇护的主要国家的数据。使用面板回归模型，我们发现，在(I)地理位置靠近委内瑞拉、(Ii)政治不太稳定、(Iii)人均实际收入较高、通货膨胀率较低和失业率较高的国家，委内瑞拉寻求庇护者的人数平均增加。尽管如此，委内瑞拉寻求庇护者对国家的这种总体印象与经济变量的影响程度很小是有细微差别的：委内瑞拉寻求庇护者似乎很难考虑一个国家的经济状况来决定留下来。此外，我们的模型提供的经验证据反映了委内瑞拉社会经济方面的恶化。
This article reports an investigation of the drivers of Venezuelan asylum seekers—people who have left this country given the scarcity of food and medicines and the troubled actual socio-economic situation. To do so, we use data about the main countries in which Venezuelans have claimed for asylum during the period 2014–17. Using a panel-regression model, we have found that Venezuelan asylum seekers increase, on average, in countries that (i) are geographically nearby Venezuela, (ii) are less politically stable and (iii) have higher real income per capita, lower inflation rates and higher unemployment rates. Still, such a general profile of countries preferred by Venezuelan asylum seekers is nuanced by the small magnitude of the effects regarding the economic variables: it appears that Venezuelan asylum seekers hardly consider the economic situation of a country for deciding to stay. Furthermore, the empirical evidence provided by our model reflects the deterioration of Venezuela’s socio-economic aspects.