Corruption and Democracy

Corruption and Democracy
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腐败与民主

DOI:
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发表时间:
2009
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通讯作者:
Michael T. Rock
Michael T. Rock
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Michael T. Rock

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腐败与民主之间关系的大多数模型和实证检验都假设腐败随着民主的成熟而福尔斯。然而,最近的理论发展和案例证据表明,两者之间存在倒U型关系,尽管迄今为止还没有人对这种关系进行过检验。通过利用1982-1997年期间涵盖大量国家的面板数据集,发现民主的持久性(年龄)与腐败之间存在倒U型关系。幸运的是,腐败的转折点出现在新民主国家的早期-10-12年之间。
Abstract Most models and empirical tests of the relationship between corruption and democracy assume corruption falls as democracy matures. Yet recent theoretical developments and case evidence suggest an inverted U relationship between the two, although so far no one has tested for this relationship. By drawing on a panel data set covering a large number of countries between 1982–1997, substantial empirical support is found for an inverted U relationship between the durability (age) of democracy and corruption. Fortunately, the turning point in corruption occurs rather early in the life of new democracies – between 10–12 years.