Whither California Agriculture: Up, Down, or Out? Some Thoughts about the Future
Whither California Agriculture: Up, Down, or Out? Some Thoughts about the Future
复制标题
加州农业走向何方：上升、下降还是出局？
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
A. Mccalla
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
W. Johnston;A. Mccalla
千禧年之交的标志是加州农业的艰难时期：价格似乎全面走低，供水困难，出口市场增长萎缩，监管环境更加严格，农业收入下降。报告一开始就思考了几个问题：“它是否像听起来那样黯淡？”“加州农业在其历史上经历了反复的挑战，并生存下来-它能再次这样做吗？”“它能在二十一世纪调整和发展吗？”该报告的主要部分包括从1769年到2000年加州农业的程式化历史，通过20世纪末影响其演变的20个重要历史驱动因素的识别，以及可能影响世纪下半叶加州农业未来的变化评估。全文共分四章：第一章.引言 *“世纪之交”问题的直接和间接指标？* 外部/间接因素 * 对加州农业的影响2。一个程式化的历史加州农业从1769年至2000年 * 前20世纪时代 * 时代的前半叶20世纪 * 时代的后半叶20世纪 * 时代在世纪的结束III。加州农业、统计和财务指标的变化结构：1950-2000年 * 加州农业的变化特征：1950-2000年 * 农业出口 * 选定的农场统计数据：1950-2000年 * 摘要四。加州农业的驱动因素 * 影响加州农业发展的因素-过去 * 未来的威胁和/或未来的机会 * 影响加州农业未来的驱动因素 * 结论性意见：影响加州农业未来的因素五.对未来的可能预测 * 为什么加州农业不同 * 底线：加州农业的机会是什么？* 第六章.七.附录
The turn of the millennium was marked by hard times in California agriculture: low prices seemingly across the board, water-supply woes, contracting growth in export markets, more stringent regulatory environments, and declining farm income. The report begins by pondering several questions: “Is it as bleak as it sounds?” “California agriculture has experienced recurrent challenges over its history and survived—can it do so again?” “Will it be able to adjust and grow in the twenty-first century?” Major portions of the report include a stylized history of California agriculture from 1769 to 2000, identification of twenty important historical drivers influencing its evolution through the end of the twentieth century, and an assessment of changes likely to influence the future of California agriculture over the next half century. The chapters are as follows: I. Introduction * Direct and Indirect Indicators of a “Turn of the Century” Problem? * External/Indirect Factors * Consequences for California Agriculture II. A Stylized History of California Agriculture from 1769 to 2000 * Pre-20th Century Epochs * Epochs of the First Half of the 20th Century * Epochs of the Second Half of the 20th Century * At Century’s End III. The Changing Structure of California Agriculture, Statistics, and Financial Indicators: 1950–2000 * The Changing Character of California Agriculture: 1950–2000 * Agricultural Exports * Selected Farm Statistics: 1950–2000 * Summary IV. Drivers of California Agriculture * Factors (Drivers) Influencing Evolution of California Agriculture—Past * Future Threats and/or Future Opportunities * Drivers Influencing the Future of California Agriculture * Concluding Comment: Factors Affecting the Future of * California’s Agriculture V. A Possible Prognosis for the Future * Why California Agriculture Is Different * Bottom Line: What Are California Agriculture’s Chances? * Bottom-Bottom Line VI. References VII. Appendix