Simulating Nature

Simulating Nature
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模拟自然

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发表时间:
2012
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通讯作者:
Christian Robert
Christian Robert
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作者:
Christian Robert

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作者亚瑟C.彼得森是联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的成员,并担任PBL荷兰环境评估机构的首席科学家。他提到,这本书的第一版,模拟自然,已经取得了某种邪教地位,而现在已经绝版,这就是为什么他写了这第二版。这本书的中心概念的不确定性与计算机模拟在第一部分(第1-94页)和相同的分析适用于气候变化的模拟,根据作者的经验,在第二部分(第95-178页)。我必须提醒读者,由于第二部分过于集中,而且对我自己的口味来说,首字母缩略词太多,我没有深入阅读,尽管气候变化和人类在这一变化中的作用绝对是我感兴趣的问题(《机会》的读者也必须意识到,这本书和我对它的评论几乎没有什么联系!)请注意,最后一章实际上更像是对本书的一个整洁的总结,而不是一个真正的结论,所以一个渴望了解本书内容的读者可以通过第八章的八页来掌握它们。
The author, Arthur C. Petersen, was a member of the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and works as chief scientist at the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. He mentions that the first edition of this book, Simulating Nature, has achieved some kind of cult status, while being now out of print, which is why he wrote this second edition. The book centers on the notion of uncertainty connected with computer simulations in the first part (pages 1-94) and on the same analysis applied to the simulation of climate change, based on the experience of the author, in the second part (pages 95-178). I must warn the reader that, as the second part got too focused and acronym-filled for my own taste, I did not read it in depth, even though the issues of climate change and of the human role in this change are definitely of interest to me. (Readers of CHANCE must also realize that there is very little connection with statistics in this book or my review of it!) Note that the final chapter is actually more of a neat summary of the book than a true conclusion, so a reader eager to get an idea about the contents of the book can grasp them through the eight pages of the eighth chapter.