The sea‐level conundrum: case studies from palaeo‐archives
The sea‐level conundrum: case studies from palaeo‐archives
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DOI：
10.1002/jqs.1270
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发表时间：
2010-01
影响因子：
2.3
通讯作者：
A. Abe‐Ouchi;M. B. Andersen;F. Antonioli;J. Bamber;E. Bard;Jorie Clark;P. Clark;P. Deschamps;A. Dutton;M. Elliot;C. Gallup;Natakya Gomez;J. Gregory;P. Huybers;K. Kawamura;M. Kelly;K. Lambeck;T. Lowell;J. Mitrovica;B. Otto‐Bliesner;D. Richards;M. Siddall;J. Stanford;C. Stirling;T. Stocker;Alexander L. Thomas;Bill C. Thompson;T. Törnqvist;N. V. Riveiros;C. Waelbroeck;Y. Yokoyama;Shiyong Yu
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文献类型：
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作者：
A. Abe‐Ouchi;M. B. Andersen;F. Antonioli;J. Bamber;E. Bard;Jorie Clark;P. Clark;P. Deschamps;A. Dutton;M. Elliot;C. Gallup;Natakya Gomez;J. Gregory;P. Huybers;K. Kawamura;M. Kelly;K. Lambeck;T. Lowell;J. Mitrovica;B. Otto‐Bliesner;D. Richards;M. Siddall;J. Stanford;C. Stirling;T. Stocker;Alexander L. Thomas;Bill C. Thompson;T. Törnqvist;N. V. Riveiros;C. Waelbroeck;Y. Yokoyama;Shiyong Yu
在21世纪的海平面预测中，世纪的重点是冰盖模拟工作，包括被认为是导致最近观察到的冰盖边缘快速变化的过程。然而，这项工作仍处于起步阶段，如果冰川加速的规模和频率增加，我们无法对冰盖对气候变暖的反应做出可靠的预测。然而，地质记录早已确定了冰盖对气候强迫的非线性响应的例子（Shackleton NJ，Opdyke ND。1973.赤道太平洋V28-239孔晚上新世至晚更新世氧同位素及古地磁地层学研究美国地质学会回忆录145：449-464;费尔班克斯RG。1989. 17，000年的冰川海平面记录：冰川融化速率对新仙女木事件和深海环流的影响。Nature 342：637-642; Bard E，Hamelin B，Arnold M，Montaggioni L，Cabioch G，Faure G，Rougerie F. 1996.大溪地珊瑚海平面记录和冰消期融水排放的时间。第382章：一个人241-244），从而提出了一种替代战略，以限制我们可能预期到本世纪末的海平面变化的速度和幅度。版权所有© 2009约翰威利父子有限公司.
Uncertainties in sea‐level projections for the 21st century have focused ice sheet modelling efforts to include the processes that are thought to be contributing to the recently observed rapid changes at ice sheet margins. This effort is still in its infancy, however, leaving us unable to make reliable predictions of ice sheet responses to a warming climate if such glacier accelerations were to increase in size and frequency. The geological record, however, has long identified examples of nonlinear ice sheet response to climate forcing (Shackleton NJ, Opdyke ND. 1973. Oxygen isotope and paleomagnetic stratigraphy of equatorial Pacific core V28–239, late Pliocene to latest Pleistocene. Geological Society of America Memoirs 145: 449–464; Fairbanks RG. 1989. A 17,000 year glacio‐eustatic sea level record: influence of glacial melting rates on the Younger Dryas event and deep ocean circulation. Nature 342: 637–642; Bard E, Hamelin B, Arnold M, Montaggioni L, Cabioch G, Faure G, Rougerie F. 1996. Sea level record from Tahiti corals and the timing of deglacial meltwater discharge. Nature 382: 241–244), thus suggesting an alternative strategy for constraining the rate and magnitude of sea‐level change that we might expect by the end of this century. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.