DETERRENCE Theory versus Practice
DETERRENCE Theory versus Practice
复制标题
威慑理论与实践
DOI：
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发表时间：
1978
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
H. Pontell
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
H. Pontell
摘要最近，一些研究人员试图复兴威慑理论。这些研究人员将重点放在了惩罚的确定性和严重性与随后的犯罪率之间的关系上。研究发现了一种相反的关系，导致这些研究人员得出结论，刑事制裁可以阻止犯罪。本文提出了另一种假设，即犯罪的增加可能会使现有的法律机制不堪重负，从而导致刑罚确定性的降低。使用过去威慑研究中使用的相同数据，本文论证了犯罪对惩罚确定性的影响可能比惩罚确定性对犯罪率的影响更大，这一发现严重质疑了美国社会目前实施的法律威胁遏制犯罪的能力。
Abstract Recently, some researchers have attempted to resurrect deterrence theory. These researchers have focused on the relationship between certainty and severity of punishment and subsequent rates of crime. An inverse relationship has been found, leading these researchers to conclude that penal sanctions deter crime. This paper presents another hypothesis, namely, that increases in crime may overburden existing legal machinery, and thus cause decreases in the certainty of punishment as a result. Using the same data employed in past deterrence studies, this paper demonstrates that crime may affect certainty of punishment more strongly than certainty of punishment affects the crime rate, a finding which seriously questions the ability of legal threats as currently administered in American society to deter crime.