Flexible electricity generation, grid exchange and storage for the transition to a 100% renewable energy system in Europe
Flexible electricity generation, grid exchange and storage for the transition to a 100% renewable energy system in Europe
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DOI：
10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.077
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发表时间：
2019-08-01
期刊：
影响因子：
8.7
通讯作者：
Breyer, Christian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Child, Michael;Kemfert, Claudia;Breyer, Christian
使用LUT能源系统转型模型模拟了欧洲到2050年实现100%可再生能源（RE）电力部门的两条转型路径。第一种是区域方案，其中区域独立建模，第二种是区域方案，其中区域之间具有传输互连。建模以每小时为分辨率，以5年为间隔，从2015年到2050年，并考虑了发电厂的当前容量和年龄，以及未来电力需求的预计增长。优化的结果表明，通过采用低成本、灵活的可再生能源发电和储能，电力的平准化成本可以从目前的69（sic）/MWh下降到地区情景中的56（sic）/MWh和地区情景中的51（sic）/MWh。将传输互连增加约四倍可以进一步节省费用。这表明，进一步发展欧洲能源联盟是有好处的，它在欧洲一级提供明确的治理，但允许适合区域情况的发展。这是SuperSmart方法的本质。欧洲100%可再生能源系统在经济上具有竞争力，技术上可行，并符合巴黎协定的目标。(C)2019年，任作家。由爱思唯尔有限公司出版。这是一篇开放获取的文章，使用CC BY许可证（http：//creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/）。
Two transition pathways towards a 100% renewable energy (RE) power sector by 2050 are simulated for Europe using the LUT Energy System Transition model. The first is a Regions scenario, whereby regions are modelled independently, and the second is an Area scenario, which has transmission interconnections between regions. Modelling is performed in hourly resolution for 5-year time intervals, from 2015 to 2050, and considers current capacities and ages of power plants, as well as projected increases in future electricity demands. Results of the optimisation suggest that the levelised cost of electricity could fall from the current 69 (sic)/MWh to 56 (sic)/MWh in the Regions scenario and 51 (sic)/MWh in the Area scenario through the adoption of low cost, flexible RE generation and energy storage. Further savings can result from increasing transmission interconnections by a factor of approximately four. This suggests that there is merit in further development of a European Energy Union, one that provides clear governance at a European level, but allows for development that is appropriate for regional contexts. This is the essence of a SuperSmart approach. A 100% RE energy system for Europe is economically competitive, technologically feasible, and consistent with targets of the Paris Agreement. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).