Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight
Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight
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DOI：
10.1136/bmj.327.7417.741
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发表时间：
2003-09-27
影响因子：
105.7
通讯作者：
Edwards, A
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gigerenzer, G;Edwards, A
医疗统计数据（如与特定干预措施相关的风险）的陈述不当可能导致患者对治疗做出错误的决定。尤其令人困惑的是单一事件概率、条件概率（如敏感性和特异性）和相对风险。医生如何改进统计信息的呈现，使患者能够做出明智的决定？
Bad presentation of medical statistics such as the risks associated with a particular intervention can lead to patients making poor decisions on treatment Particularly confusing are single event probabilities, conditional probabilities (such as sensitivity and specificity), and relative risks. How can doctors improve the presentation of statistical information so that patients can make well informed decisions?