Generating capacity adequacy associated with wind energy
Generating capacity adequacy associated with wind energy
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DOI：
10.1109/tec.2004.827718
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发表时间：
2004-08
影响因子：
4.9
通讯作者：
R. Billinton;G. Bai
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
R. Billinton;G. Bai
风是一种高度可变的能源，其行为与传统能源截然不同。提出了一种含风电的电力系统容量充裕度评估方法。两个代表性的系统，包括传统的发电机组和风能转换系统（WECS）的结果和讨论。一个蒙特卡罗模拟方法是用来进行分析。逐时风速采用自回归移动平均时间序列模型进行模拟。对两种不同规模的可靠性试验系统进行了广泛的研究。研究表明，WECS对发电系统可靠性性能的贡献可以量化，并且高度依赖于风场条件。在合理的高风速下，WECS可以做出显著的可靠性贡献。风能独立性也对多个WECS的可靠性贡献具有显著的积极影响。
The wind is a highly variable energy source and behaves far differently than conventional energy sources. This paper presents a methodology for capacity adequacy evaluation of power systems including wind energy. The results and discussions on two representative systems containing both conventional generation units and wind energy conversion systems (WECS) are presented. A Monte Carlo simulation approach is used to conduct the analysis. The hourly wind speeds are simulated using an autoregressive moving average time-series model. A wide range of studies were conducted on two different sized reliability test systems. The studies show that the contribution of a WECS to the reliability performance of a generation system can be quantified and is highly dependent on the wind site conditions. A WECS can make a significant reliability contribution given a reasonably high wind speed. Wind energy independence also has a significant positive impact on the reliability contribution of multiple WECS.