Can Competitiveness Predict Education and Labor Market Outcomes? Evidence from Incentivized Choice and Survey Measures

Can Competitiveness Predict Education and Labor Market Outcomes? Evidence from Incentivized Choice and Survey Measures
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竞争力可以预测教育和劳动力市场的结果吗?

DOI:
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
Social Science Research Network
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
H. Oosterbeek
H. Oosterbeek
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
T. Buser;M. Niederle;H. Oosterbeek

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我们使用一个大型的、具有代表性的调查小组来评估教育和劳动力市场结果的两种竞争力指标的预测能力。第一个是激励性的,是基于实验室的 Niederle-Vesterlund 措施的在线改编。第二个是引发总体竞争力的无激励调查问题。这两项指标都是收入、职业、教育水平和学习领域的有力预测指标。新的无激励措施的预测能力对于控制其他特征(包括风险态度、信心和大五人格特征)来说是强大的。对于大多数结果,竞争力的预测能力超过其他特征。
We assess the predictive power of two measures of competitiveness for education and labor market outcomes using a large, representative survey panel. The first is incentivized and is an online adaptation of the laboratory-based Niederle-Vesterlund measure. The second is an unincentivized survey question eliciting general competitiveness. Both measures are strong predictors of income, occupation, level of education and field of study. The predictive power of the new unincentivized measure is robust to controlling for other traits, including risk attitudes, confidence and the Big Five personality traits. For most outcomes, the predictive power of competitiveness exceeds that of the other traits.