The coupling of climate and economic dynamics : essays on integrated assessment
The coupling of climate and economic dynamics : essays on integrated assessment
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气候与经济动态的耦合：综合评估论文
DOI：
10.1007/1-4020-3425-3
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发表时间：
2005
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
L. Viguier
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Haurie;L. Viguier
气候和经济具有相互依存的动态。即使气候变化的速度可能比世界经济调整的速度慢得多，但在政策评估过程中必须控制和考虑到经济发展和增长对全球气候变化的影响。综合评估模型目前正试图捕捉将气候系统与人类社会发展联系在一起的不同反馈。这本书回顾了用于模拟气候和经济之间动态相互作用的不同方法，并提出了这一领域研究的新途径。在14章中，本书涉及综合评估模型构建的各个方面，通过耦合经济增长和气候变化模块，或使用可行性数学模型或动态博弈论来表示世界相关地区之间的相互作用。它还侧重于可用于评估国际气候政策的更具体的经济平衡模型，并讨论了作为试验区的瑞士气候变化影响的建模问题。本书是多年来在一个关于气候变化的人类层面的跨学科项目中联合研究的成果。它提出了将气候模拟模块纳入最佳经济增长模型的创新方法;它探讨了可计算的一般经济均衡模型与博弈论范式结合使用的可能性，以评估气候政策合作的红利;它报告了建立多区域动态能源-技术-环境模型的情况，以评估世界能源系统对全球温室气体排放上限的可能反应，它展示了如何在区域层面上模拟气候变化的影响。本书旨在为从事地球科学和社会科学之间的跨学科研究的研究人员和研究生提供参考。
Climate and economies have interdependent dynamics. Even though the pace of climate change is probably much slower than the speed of adjustment of the world economies, the global climate change impact of economic development and growth has to be controlled and taken into account in the policy assessment process. Integrated assessment models are now trying to capture the different feedbacks that link the climate system and the development of human societies. This book reviews the different approaches used to model these dynamic interactions between climate and economies and proposes new avenues of research in this domain. In fourteen chapters this book deals with various aspects of the building of integrated assessment models, either by coupling economic growth and climate change modules, or using mathematical models of viability or dynamic game theory to represent the interactions between the world regions concerned. It also focuses on more specific economic equilibrium models that can be used to assess international climate policies and it addresses the modelling of impacts of climate change in Switzerland as a test region. This book is the result of several years of joint research in an interdisciplinary project on the human dimension of climate change. It proposes innovative ways to include climate simulation modules in optimal economic growth models; it explores the possible use of computable general economic equilibrium models coupled with paradigms of game theory to assess the dividends of cooperation in climate policies; it reports on the building of multi-region dynamic energy-technology-environment models to assess the possible response of the world energy system to a global cap on GHG emissions, and it shows how to model the impacts of climate change at a regional level. This book is meant to serve as a reference work for researchers and graduate students who engage in interdisciplinary studies at the boundary between Earth and Social sciences.