Structure and Response in the World Trade Network

Structure and Response in the World Trade Network
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DOI:
10.1103/physrevlett.105.198701
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发表时间:
2010-11-05
影响因子:
8.6
通讯作者:
Deem, Michael W.
Deem, Michael W.
中科院分区:
物理与天体物理1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
He, Jiankui;Deem, Michael W.

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我们研究了过去40年来全球化和经济衰退如何塑造了世界贸易网络的结构。我们表明,通过将世界贸易网络视为一个不断发展的系统,理论预测贸易网络对衰退冲击更加敏感,并且由于全球化引起的世界贸易网络的结构变化,现在从衰退中恢复的速度比40年前更慢。我们还表明,经济衰退引起的变化,以世界贸易网络导致增加的层次结构的全球贸易网络的几年后的经济衰退。
We examine how the structure of the world trade network has been shaped by globalization and recessions over the last 40 years. We show that by treating the world trade network as an evolving system, theory predicts the trade network is more sensitive to recessionary shocks and recovers more slowly from them now than it did 40 years ago, due to structural changes in the world trade network induced by globalization. We also show that recession-induced change to the world trade network leads to an increased hierarchical structure of the global trade network for a few years after the recession.