Post-discharge venous thromboembolism after pancreatectomy for malignancy: Predicting risk based on preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors.

Post-discharge venous thromboembolism after pancreatectomy for malignancy: Predicting risk based on preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors.
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DOI:
10.1002/jso.26046
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发表时间:
2020-09
影响因子:
2.5
通讯作者:
Bentrem DJ
Bentrem DJ
中科院分区:
医学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Schlick CJR;Merkow RP;Yang AD;Bentrem DJ

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Extended chemoprophylaxis is recommended for high-risk patients following pancreatectomy for malignancy. However, quantifying risk remains difficult. We sought to (1) identify factors associated with post-discharge VTE following pancreatectomy for malignancy and (2) develop a post-discharge VTE risk calculator to identify high-risk patients. Patients who underwent pancreatectomy for malignant histology from 2014–2018 were identified from the ACS NSQIP pancreatectomy procedure targeted dataset. Preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors known at hospital discharge were evaluated for association with post-discharge VTE via multivariable logistic regression. A post-discharge VTE risk calculator was developed and validated. Of 19,340 analyzed patients, 280 (1.5%) developed post-discharge VTE. Post-discharge VTE was associated with increasing BMI (e.g., morbidly obese BMI OR 1.99 [95% CI 1.30–3.02] vs. normal BMI), procedure type (distal pancreatectomy OR 1.47 [95% CI 1.02–2.12] vs. pancreaticoduodenectomy), pancreatic fistula (OR 1.59 [95% CI 1.19–2.13]) and delayed gastric emptying (OR 1.81 [95% CI 1.29–2.52]). Patients’ predicted probability of post-discharge VTE ranged from 0.7%−9.0%. Twenty iterations of 10-fold cross-validation demonstrated internal validity. Preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors were associated with post-discharge VTE following pancreatectomy for malignancy. This post-discharge VTE risk calculator allows for quantifying individual post-discharge VTE risk, which ranged from 0.7% to 9.0%.
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发表时间: 2020-02-10
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