Extreme actions and climate change: experience gained in South Africa and Germany
Extreme actions and climate change: experience gained in South Africa and Germany
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极端行动与气候变化：南非和德国的经验
DOI：
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
E. van der Klashorst
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
J. Retief;D. Diamantidis;C. Barnardo;E. van der Klashorst
本文介绍了从气候变化与基础设施极端行动的相关性的角度对南非和德国气候变化动态进行调查的结果。它的结论是，气候变化的重要性是广泛的和不同的。然而，将其纳入实践大多是名义上的。虽然气候变化的总趋势得到确认，但关于极端条件变化的适当信息有限。海岸工程似乎是应对气候变化最活跃的领域。它的结论是，基于风险的方法，制定了处理极端行动和后果的可变性和不确定性在目前的做法提供了一个良好的基础，以合理和最佳的方式处理气候变化的影响。同样清楚的是，有强烈的动机进行广泛的研究，作为目前采取的最佳行动，预计适当调整重新优化的设计方法。
The results of a survey of climate change developments in South Africa and Germany from the perspective of its relevance to extreme actions on infrastructure are presented in this paper. It is concluded that the importance of climate change is broad and varied. However incorporation into practice is mostly nominal. Although general trends of climate change are confirmed, proper information on changes in extreme conditions is limited. Coastal engineering seems to be the field which is most active in providing for climate change. It is concluded that risk-based methodologies developed to treat the variability and uncertainties of extreme actions and consequences in present practice provide a sound basis for treating the effects of climate change in a rational and optimal manner. It is also clear that there is strong motivation for extensive research as the best action to be taken presently, anticipating appropriate adjustment of re-optimised design methodologies.