EXPLAINING VOTER TURNOUT PATTERNS - AN INFORMATION-THEORY
EXPLAINING VOTER TURNOUT PATTERNS - AN INFORMATION-THEORY
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DOI：
10.1007/bf01047803
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发表时间：
1995-07-01
期刊：
影响因子：
1.6
通讯作者：
MATSUSAKA, JG
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
MATSUSAKA, JG
投票研究具有丰富的经验规律，但事实证明，一种符合事实的简约选民投票率理论是难以捉摸的。 本文认为，选民投票率模式可以通过扩展传统的理性选民模型以包含有限的信息来解释。 提出了一个模型，在该模型中，效用最大化的消费者对自己的投票选择越有信心，就会从投票中获得更高的回报。 该模型为最重要的横截面选民投票率模式提供了解释。 此外，它还对 1960 年后美国参与度下降提出了一个新颖的解释。
Voting research is rich in empirical regularities yet a parsimonious theory of voter turnout that can match the facts has proven to be elusive. This paper argues that voter turnout patterns can be explained by extending the traditional rational voter model to include limited information. A model is presented in which utility-maximizing consumers receive higher payoffs from voting the more confident they are of their vote choice. The model provides an explanation for the most important cross-sectional voter turnout patterns. In addition, it suggests a novel explanation for the post-1960 decline in U.S. participation.