Export Expansion and Regional Diversification: Learning from the Changing Geography of China’s Exports
Export Expansion and Regional Diversification: Learning from the Changing Geography of China’s Exports
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DOI：
10.1080/00330124.2018.1559657
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发表时间：
2019-04
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Xiyan Mao;Canfei He
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Xiyan Mao;Canfei He
出口扩张将如何改变工业发展的内部地理格局？它是否以牺牲外围地区为代价发展核心地区？本研究从演化的角度探讨出口扩张对地方发展新产业能力（即区域多样化）的影响。本文利用2003 - 2013年中国海关和《中国工业企业年度调查》的统计数据，考察了出口开放和新增出口对区域多元化的促进作用。实证结果表明，出口开放能够促进规模经济，提高现有能力。新的出口可以引入区域外的投入，促进范围经济。它将鼓励新产业的发展，而不管当地现有的能力如何。这种机制对核心和外围都有效。因此，出口扩张很可能为落后地区打开机会之窗。我们的研究结果也为落后地区应对出口增长的发展政策提供了见解。关键词：出口扩张，全球-地方联动，路径依赖，区域多元化，贸易地理。
How will export expansion alter the internal geography of industrial development? Does it develop core regions at the expense of periphery regions? From an evolutionary point of view, this study investigates the effects of export expansion on the local capabilities for developing new industries (i.e., regional diversification). Using statistical data from China Customs and China’s Annual Survey of Industrial Firms, covering 334 prefectures during 2003 to 2013, this study examines the role of export openness and new exports in promoting regional diversification. Empirical results demonstrate that export openness can promote economies of scale and improve the already existing capabilities. New exports can introduce extraregional inputs and promote economies of scope. It will encourage the development of new industries regardless of the preexisting local capabilities. This mechanism works for both the core and the periphery. As such, export expansion is likely to open an opportunity window for lagging regions. Our findings also offer insights into development policies for lagging regions in response to export growth. Key Words: export expansion, global–local linkage, path dependence, regional diversification, trade geography.