Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Two interacting processes
Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Two interacting processes
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DOI：
10.4054/demres.2006.15.17
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发表时间：
2006-11-29
影响因子：
2.1
通讯作者：
Kreyenfeld, Michaela
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hoem, Jan M.;Kreyenfeld, Michaela
在这些反思的第二部分中，我们使用婚姻和第一胎之间的联系来证明当两个个体层面的过程在相互作用中运行时，预期分析中涉及的进一步问题。想要孩子可能是婚姻的一个非常重要的决定因素。不幸的是，关于生育意向的纵向数据很少。为了证明生育意图如何指导婚姻行为，人们可能会忍不住使用预见性研究策略。在这篇文章中，我们讨论了这种方法所涉及的缺陷，并展示了一种非预期的研究策略。
In the present second part of these reflections, we use the connection between marriage and first birth to demonstrate further issues involved in anticipatory analysis when two individual-level processes operate in interaction. The wish to have children is probably a very important determinant of marriage. Unfortunately, longitudinal data on fertility intentions are rarely available. In order to demonstrate how childbearing intentions guide marriage behavior, one might be tempted to use anticipatory research strategies. In this paper we discuss the drawbacks involved with such an approach and display a non-anticipatory research strategy.