Development and validation of a model to predict tyrosine kinase inhibitor-sensitive EGFR mutations of non-small cell lung cancer based on multi-institutional data.
Development and validation of a model to predict tyrosine kinase inhibitor-sensitive EGFR mutations of non-small cell lung cancer based on multi-institutional data.
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DOI:
10.1111/1759-7714.12881
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发表时间:
2018-12
期刊:
影响因子:
2.9
通讯作者:
Zhang JX
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Chang H;Liu YB;Yi W;Lu JB;Zhang JX
Non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with different EGFR mutation types shows distinct sensitivity to tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). This study developed a patho‐clinical profile‐based prediction model of TKI‐sensitive EGFR mutations. The records of 1121 Chinese patients diagnosed with NSCLC from November 2008 to October 2014 (the development set) were reviewed. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to identify any association between potential predictors and the classic sensitive EGFR mutations (exon 19 deletion and exon 21 L858R point mutation). A prediction index was created by assigning weighted scores to each factor proportional to a regression coefficient. Validation was made in an independent cohort consisting of 864 patients who were consecutively enrolled between November 2014 and January 2017 (the validation set). Seven independent predictors were identified: gender (female vs. male), adenocarcinoma (yes vs. no), smoking history (no vs. yes), N stage (N+ vs. N0), M stage (M1 vs. M0), brain metastasis (yes vs. no), and elevated Cyfra 21‐1 (no vs. yes). Each was assigned a number of points. In the validation set, the area under curve of the prediction index appeared as 0.698 (95% confidence interval 0.663–0.733). The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and concordance were 95.0%, 32.3%, 61.4%, 85.1%, and 65.6%, respectively. We developed a patho‐clinical profile‐based model for predicting TKI‐sensitive EGFR mutations. Our model may represent a noninvasive, economical choice for clinicians to inform TKI therapy.
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影响因子:
3.8
作者:
Cho A;Hur J;Moon YW;Hong SR;Suh YJ;Kim YJ;Im DJ;Hong YJ;Lee HJ;Kim YJ;Shim HS;Lee JS;Kim JH;Choi BW
通讯作者:
Choi BW
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Liu J
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24.3
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通讯作者:
Pao, W.
影响因子:
51.1
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通讯作者:
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