Between Puppets and Independent Actors: Kin-state Involvement in the Conflicts in Bosnia, Croatia and Nagorno Karabakh
Between Puppets and Independent Actors: Kin-state Involvement in the Conflicts in Bosnia, Croatia and Nagorno Karabakh
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傀儡与独立行动者之间：亲属国家卷入波斯尼亚、克罗地亚和纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫冲突
DOI：
10.1080/17449050701618546
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发表时间：
2008
期刊：
影响因子：
0.8
通讯作者：
Nina Caspersen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Nina Caspersen
波斯尼亚、克罗地亚和纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫的冲突和战争通常被认为是亲属国家参与的表现。塞尔维亚政权通常被赋予对当地塞族领导人的压倒性影响力，亚美尼亚和纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫之间的正式分裂经常被认为是一个烟幕。然而，这篇文章认为，在贝尔格莱德和埃里温的领导人并不总是能够控制当地领导人和指令的发展，他们的影响力在不同的冲突阶段有很大的不同。尽管亲属国家的参与可以发挥非常重要的作用，而且确实是暴力冲突中的决定性因素，但应该承认这些族裔关系的持久性可能有限;即使在极端不安全的情况下，它们也会被削弱，这影响到达成解决方案的可能性。
The conflicts and wars in Bosnia, Croatia and Nagorno Karabakh are commonly viewed as little more than the expression of kin-state involvement. The Serbian regime is usually assigned overwhelming influence over the local Serb leaders, and the formal division between Armenia and Nagorno Karabakh is frequently argued to be a smokescreen. However, this article argues that the leaders in Belgrade and Yerevan were not always able to control the local leaders and dictate developments, and their influence varied considerably in different conflict phases. Even though kin-state involvement can play a very important role, and indeed be the decisive factor in a violent conflict, the potentially limited longevity of these ethnonational ties should be acknowledged; they can be weakened even in a situation of extreme insecurity and this impacts on the possibility for reaching a settlement.