Biases in the reporting of labour market dynamics
Biases in the reporting of labour market dynamics
复制标题
劳动力市场动态报告中的偏差
DOI：
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复制
发表时间：
2002
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Gillian Paull
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Gillian Paull
正确衡量劳动力市场行为中的个人动态已变得越来越重要，因为研究和政策的注意力越来越集中于当前就业机会与过去经验之间的关系。收集劳动力市场历史信息的调查使用重复访谈和回顾性报告，使所得数据容易受到随机测量误差和系统回忆误差造成的虚假过渡的潜在偏差。本文利用英国家庭小组调查提供的独特的数据机会，系统地研究召回对衡量劳动力市场行为的影响，并强调如何以及在何种程度上报告的数据中的偏见可能会影响劳动力市场动态模型的估计。这些结果使分析师能够判断从这些模型得出的结论是否可能受到报告偏差的影响。
Correctly measuring individual dynamics in labour market behaviour has become increasingly important as research and policy attention has become more focused on the relationships between current employment opportunities and past experience. Surveys collecting information on labour market histories use repeated interviews and retrospective reporting, laying the resulting data open to potential biases from spurious transitions due to random measurement errors and from systematic recall error. This paper uses a unique data opportunity provided by the British Household Panel Survey to systematically investigate the impact of recall on measured labour market behaviour and to highlight how and to what degree the biases in the reported data may affect the estimation of models of labour market dynamics. The results allow analysts to judge whether conclusions drawn from such models are likely to be compromised by the reporting biases.