Science and Statistics
Science and Statistics
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DOI：
10.1080/01621459.1976.10480949
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发表时间：
1976-12
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
G. Box
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
G. Box
摘要：本文讨论了科学方法的几个方面：特别地，它的表现形式是一种有动机的迭代，在这种迭代中，实践与理论对峙，理论与实践对峙。快速的进步需要足够的灵活性来从这种对抗中获利，需要设计简洁但有效的模型的能力，需要有选择地担心模型的不足，需要有技巧但适当地运用数学。罗纳德·费希尔爵士在洛桑试验站发展的统计方法被用来说明这些主题。
Abstract Aspects of scientific method are discussed: In particular, its representation as a motivated iteration in which, in succession, practice confronts theory, and theory, practice. Rapid progress requires sufficient flexibility to profit from such confrontations, and the ability to devise parsimonious but effective models, to worry selectively about model inadequacies and to employ mathematics skillfully but appropriately. The development of statistical methods at Rothamsted Experimental Station by Sir Ronald Fisher is used to illustrate these themes.