Levels of support from children in Taiwan: Expectations versus reality, 1965-99
Levels of support from children in Taiwan: Expectations versus reality, 1965-99
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1728-4457.2004.00022.x
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发表时间：
2004-09-01
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
Yang, LS
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hermalin, AI;Yang, LS
人口老龄化和伴随而来的社会经济变化都会对代际安排产生影响。因此，评估家庭成员之间不断演变的社会契约是研究议程的关键部分。监测这些影响和其他后果的研究相对较新。另一种获得洞察力的方法是通过历史分析：(a)追踪近几十年来，随着年龄的增长，人们对老年赡养的期望是如何变化的，(b)衡量期望与实际模式的一致程度。本文利用1965年至1990年代台湾的一系列生育调查，追踪年轻已婚女性群体对同居的期望，并将这些期望与1990年代老年人调查中观察到的实际生活安排进行比较。研究结果表明，随着年龄的增长，对每一组人的期望都发生了急剧变化。这些变化反映了对受访者自身生命历程事件和不断变化的社会经济环境的反应，并在整个时期内显示出教育程度的巨大而持久的差异。这些因素往往使期望与若干年后观察到的实际生活安排相当一致。
Both population aging and the socioeconomic changes that often accompany it have effects on intergenerational arrangements. As a result, assessing the evolving social contract among family members is a key part of the research agenda. Studies monitoring these effects and other consequences are relatively new. Another way to gain insight is through a historical analysis that (a) traces how expectations for old-age support have changed over recent decades for cohorts advancing through their life cycle, and (b) measures how well expectations accord with actual patterns. This article uses a series of fertility surveys in Taiwan from 1965 to the 1990s to trace expectations for coresidence among cohorts of young married women and to compare these expectations with the actual living arrangements observed in surveys of the elderly in the 1990s. The results indicate sharp shifts in expectations for each of the cohorts as they aged. These shifts reflect a response to respondents' own life course events and the changing socioeconomic environment and show large and persistent differentials by education throughout the period. These factors tend to bring expectations into fairly close concordance with the actual living arrangements observed some years later.