Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets
Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets
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DOI：
10.1086/705716
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发表时间：
2020-06-01
影响因子：
8.2
通讯作者：
Restrepo, Pascual
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Acemoglu, Daron;Restrepo, Pascual
我们研究了工业机器人对美国劳动力市场的影响。我们从理论上证明，机器人可能会减少就业和工资，并且它们对当地的影响可以通过接触机器人的变化来估计--从机器人技术的行业水平进步和当地行业就业定义。我们估计，机器人对通勤地区的就业和工资产生了强烈的负面影响。我们还表明，1990年后受机器人影响最大的地区在此之前没有表现出任何差异趋势，机器人的影响与其他资本和技术不同。每千名工人中多一台机器人，就业人口比下降0.2个百分点，工资下降0.42%。
We study the effects of industrial robots on US labor markets. We show theoretically that robots may reduce employment and wages and that their local impacts can be estimated using variation in exposure to robots-defined from industry-level advances in robotics and local industry employment. We estimate robust negative effects of robots on employment and wages across commuting zones. We also show that areas most exposed to robots after 1990 do not exhibit any differential trends before then, and robots' impact is distinct from other capital and technologies. One more robot per thousand workers reduces the employment-to-population ratio by 0.2 percentage points and wages by 0.42%.