Science based tools informing coastal management in a changing climate
Science based tools informing coastal management in a changing climate
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发表时间：
2017
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通讯作者：
Jennifer Brown;P. Knight;T. Prime;Benjamin T. Phillips;C. Lyddon;N. Leonardi;Karyn Morrissey;A. Plater
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作者：
Jennifer Brown;P. Knight;T. Prime;Benjamin T. Phillips;C. Lyddon;N. Leonardi;Karyn Morrissey;A. Plater
为了更好地为与沿海管理相关的决策提供信息，使用可获得的数据生成了一个数值模拟数据库，以填充在线决策支持工具（DST）。这项研究是沿海能源供应适应和恢复能力（ARCoES）项目的一部分，该项目侧重于英国关键的沿海能源基础设施领域，如核电站位置。这一基于网络的工具是与沿海和能源部门的从业人员一起开发的，目的是制作一个系统，该系统可以可视化洪水灾害未来可能发生的变化，以评估在未来500年内，为应对海平面上升和风暴，可能需要在一个地点的管理战略中设置“临界点”。虽然主要产品的重点是易受洪水影响的脆弱性，但在今后的适应战略中也考虑了关于海岸线自然复原力的其他研究。这些发现被输入通过ARCoES开发的经济模型，以评估成本效益影响或真实的选择
To better inform decisions associated with coastal management a database of numerical simulations has been generated using publically available data to populate an online decision-support tool (DST). This research is part of the Adaptation and Resilience of Coastal Energy Supply (ARCoES) project that focuses on areas of critical coastal energy infrastructure within the UK, such as nuclear power station locations. This web-based tool has been developed with coastal and energy sector practitioners to produce a system that visualizes plausible future changes in flood hazard to assess when ‘tipping points’ in a location’s management strategy may be required in response to rising sea levels and storms over the next 500 years. Although the main product is focused on vulnerability to flooding, additional research on the natural resilience of shorelines has also been considered in relation to future adaptation strategies. These findings are fed into economic models developed through ARCoES to assess the cost-benefit impacts or real options