Belief Elicitation in the Laboratory
Belief Elicitation in the Laboratory
复制标题
实验室中的信念激发
DOI：
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Isabel Treviño
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Schotter;Isabel Treviño
作为经济学家，我们面临的一个限制是，无法观察到检验我们的理论或制定政策处方所需的所有相关变量。实验室技术使我们能够将许多在现场无法观察到的变量(如信念)转化为可观测到的变量。本文对实验经济学中关于信念激发的文献进行了综述。我们讨论了几种可用来以激励相容的方式引出信念的技术，以及在使用这些技术时涉及的问题。然后，我们看看这些技术在实验室研究中的成功程度。我们发现，尽管存在一些问题，但在实验室中引发的信念是有意义的(即，它们通常被用作行为的基础)，并且引发信念的过程似乎不是太具侵入性。未来的一个希望是，通过激发信仰，我们或许能够发展出更好的信仰形成理论。
One constraint we face as economists is not being able to observe all the relevant variables required to test our theories or make policy prescriptions. Laboratory techniques allow us to convert many variables (such as beliefs) that are unobservable in the field into observables. This article presents a survey of the literature on belief elicitation in laboratory experimental economics. We discuss several techniques available to elicit beliefs in an incentive-compatible manner and the problems involved in their use. We then look at how successful these techniques have been when employed in laboratory studies. We find that despite some problems, beliefs elicited in the laboratory are meaningful (i.e., they are generally used as the basis for behavior), and the process of eliciting beliefs seems not to be too intrusive. One hope for the future is that by eliciting beliefs, we may be able to develop better theories of belief formation.