Statistical Estimation of Container Condensation in Marine Transportation between Far East Asia and Europe
Statistical Estimation of Container Condensation in Marine Transportation between Far East Asia and Europe
复制标题
远东亚洲和欧洲之间海运集装箱凝露的统计估算
DOI：
10.1017/s0373463321000746
复制
发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
C.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yuen;P.C.;Sasa;K.;Kawahara;H.;and Chen;C.
由于天气变化，海运集装箱内的冷凝在航行期间发生。在这项研究中，我们定义的凝聚概率沿着亚洲和欧洲之间的集装箱船的主要航线之一。首先，在日本的陆地上测量了室内和室外空气条件，并进行了相关性分析，以得出它们之间的关系。其次，对20，000艘20英尺当量单位（TEU）船舶进行了船上测量，以确定外部空气条件的变化。随着纬度、海域和季节的变化，观察到了复杂的天气变化模式。第三，凝结概率估计的基础上，与陆地和船上的测量数据的多元回归分析。冬季西行或东行航线的最大凝结概率约为50%。本研究所建立之凝缩机率评估方法，可为海运集装箱运输航次规划之货损风险量化提供参考。
Condensation inside marine containers occurs during voyages owing to weather changes. In this study, we define the condensation probability along one of the major routes for container ships between Asia and Europe. First, the inside and outside air conditions were measured on land in Japan, and a correlation analysis was conducted to derive their relationship. Second, onboard measurements were conducted for 20,000 twenty-foot equivalent unit (TEU) ships to determine the variation in outside air conditions. Complicated patterns of weather change were observed with changes in latitude, sea area, and season. Third, condensation probability was estimated based on a multi-regression analysis with land and onboard measured data. The maximum condensation probability in westbound or eastbound voyages in winter was found to be approximately 50%. The condensation probability estimation method established in this study can contribute to the quantification of cargo damage risks for the planning of marine container transportation voyages.