Development and use of modelling techniques for real‐time bathing water quality predictions
Development and use of modelling techniques for real‐time bathing water quality predictions
复制标题
实时沐浴水质预测建模技术的开发和使用
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
C. Mcphail
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
R. Stidson;C. A. Gray;C. Mcphail
真实的实时预测洗浴水质被建议作为一个适当的监管方法在最近的世界卫生组织指南和新的欧盟（EU）洗浴水质标准。自2004年以来，苏格兰环境保护局（SEPA）在苏格兰的10个地点开发了第一个欧盟真实的实时洗浴水质预测。本文涵盖了两个阶段的建模工具的演变，告知这些预测的基础上前期降雨量和河流流量，使用四个网站为例。这些工具，连同相关的咨询系统，表明有可能尽量减少公众暴露于不利的水质，这发生在降雨事件后的离散事件。此外，它们允许有效的预测和通信系统提供显著的合规性益处，因为在不建议洗澡的时段期间采集的样本被忽略用于分类目的。
Real‐time prediction of bathing water quality is suggested as an appropriate regulatory approach in recent WHO Guidelines and new European Union (EU) standards for bathing water quality. The Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA) has developed the first EU real‐time bathing water quality predictions at 10 sites throughout Scotland since 2004. This paper covers two stages in the evolution of modelling tools which inform these predictions based on antecedent rainfall and river flow, using four sites as examples. These tools, together with associated advisory systems, demonstrate the potential to minimise public exposure to adverse water quality where this occurs in discrete episodes after rainfall events. In addition, they allow an effective prediction and communication system to provide significant compliance benefits as samples taken during periods when bathing is not advised are disregarded for classification purposes.