Predicting Shunt Dependency from the Effect of Cerebrospinal Fluid Drainage on Ventricular Size.
Predicting Shunt Dependency from the Effect of Cerebrospinal Fluid Drainage on Ventricular Size.
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DOI:
10.1007/s12028-022-01538-8
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发表时间:
2022-12
影响因子:
3.5
通讯作者:
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
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Prolonged external ventricular drainage (EVD) in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) leads to morbidity, while early removal can also have untoward effects related to recurrent hydrocephalus. A metric to help determine the optimal time for EVD removal or ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS) placement would be beneficial in preventing prolonged unnecessary use of EVD. This study aimed to identify if dynamics of cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) biometrics can temporally predict VPS dependency after SAH. Retrospective analysis of a prospective single-center observational study of patients with aneurysmal SAH, that required EVD placement for hydrocephalus. Patients were divided into VPS dependent (VPS+) and non-VPS dependent (VPS−) groups. We measured the bicaudate index (BCI) on all available computed tomography scans, and calculated the change over time (delta BCI). We analysed the relationship of delta BCI with CSF output using Pearson’s correlation. A k-nearest neighbor model of the relationship between delta BCI and CSF output was computed to classify VPS. Fifty-eight patients met inclusion criteria. CSF output was significantly higher in the VPS+ group in the 7 days post EVD placement. There was a positive correlation between delta BCI and CSF output in the VPS+ group and a negative correlation in the VPS− group starting from days four to six after EVD placement (p<0.05). A weighted k-nearest neighbor model for classification had a sensitivity of 0.75, a specificity of 0.70, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80. The correlation of delta BCI and CSF output is a reliable intra-individual biometric for VPS dependency after SAH as early as days four to six after EVD placement. Our machine learning model leverages this relationship between delta BCI and cumulative CSF output to predict VPS dependency. Early knowledge of VPS dependency could be studied to reduce EVD duration and in many centers, intensive care unit length of stay.
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影响因子:
2.4
作者:
Czorlich, Patrick;Ricklefs, Franz;Schmidt, Nils Ole
通讯作者:
Schmidt, Nils Ole
影响因子:
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Spetzler, RF
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通讯作者:
Huttunen, Terhi J.
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Spetzler, Robert F.