Testing the Stability of Crime Patterns: Implications for Theory and Policy

Testing the Stability of Crime Patterns: Implications for Theory and Policy
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DOI:
10.1177/0022427810384136
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发表时间:
2011-02-01
影响因子:
3.2
通讯作者:
Malleson, Nicolas
Malleson, Nicolas
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Andresen, Martin A.;Malleson, Nicolas

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最近的研究在“犯罪的地方”的文献是关注更小的分析单位比传统的空间犯罪学。一个重要的问题是,在传统的空间犯罪学中观察到的空间模式集中在社区仍然分析转移到街道段。在这篇文章中,作者使用了一种新的空间点模式测试,确定空间点模式的相似性。该测试本质上是局部的,因此可以映射输出,以显示存在差异的位置。使用这个测试,作者调查了犯罪模式的稳定性,从人口普查区到传播区再到街道段。作者发现,一般犯罪模式在所有空间尺度上都有些相似,但更精细的分析尺度揭示了较大单位内的显著差异。这一结果表明,在小规模的犯罪模式分析的重要性,并为进一步的理论发展和政策实施具有重要意义。
Recent research in the "crime at places'' literature is concerned with smaller units of analysis than conventional spatial criminology. An important issue is whether the spatial patterns observed in conventional spatial criminology focused on neighborhoods remain when the analysis shifts to street segments. In this article, the authors use a new spatial point pattern test that identifies the similarity in spatial point patterns. This test is local in nature such that the output can be mapped showing where differences are present. Using this test, the authors investigate the stability of crime patterns moving from census tracts to dissemination areas to street segments. The authors find that general crime patterns are somewhat similar at all spatial scales, but finer scales of analysis reveal significant variations within larger units. This result demonstrates the importance of analyzing crime patterns at small scales and has important implications for further theoretical development and policy implementation.