Recognition of the remains of Tsar Nicholas II and his family: a case of premature identification?
Recognition of the remains of Tsar Nicholas II and his family: a case of premature identification?
复制标题
沙皇尼古拉二世及其家人遗骸的识别：过早识别的案例？
DOI：
10.1080/030144699282480
复制
发表时间：
1999
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
Zhivotovsky,LA
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Zhivotovsky,LA
1998 年 7 月 17 日，遗体被确认为沙皇尼古拉二世及其家人的遗骸被重新埋葬在圣彼得堡。此次安葬是根据负责遗骸研究的俄罗斯政府委员会做出的决定进行的，该委员会在很大程度上依赖于对乌拉尔地区叶卡捷琳堡市附近原始墓地中发现的九具骨骼中的每具一两具骨头进行的线粒体 DNA 分析。该调查应被视为不确定，因为在制定替代方案或计算相应的赔率和匹配概率时都没有考虑至关重要的历史信息。这些因素包括试图隐藏证据并找出有关谋杀的虚假线索，以及埋有遗骸的坟墓并不完整，一些头骨和其他骨头可能被添加到坟墓中，甚至可能是被指控者亲属的骨头。由于这些原因，分析得出的结论应该只适用于所分析的特定骨骼，而不适用于出土的骨骼。此外，线粒体 DNA 分析仅提供有关据称在坟墓中的人的母系血统的信息，而不是特定人员的信息。 DNA研究中还存在其他缺陷，特别是在分析中应用了美国和英国而非俄罗斯的人口数据。
On 17 July 1998 remains identified as those of Tsar Nicholas II and his family were reburied in St. Petersburg. The interment followed the decision taken by the Russian Governmental Commission responsible for the study of the remains, which heavily relied on mitochondrial DNA analysis conducted on one or two bones from each of the nine skeletons found in the original gravesite near the city of Ekaterinburg in the Urals region. The investigation should be regarded as inconclusive because crucially important historical information was not taken into account either in formulating alternative scenarios or when calculating the corresponding odds and match probabilities. Among these factors were attempts to hide evidence and to develop false clues about the murders, and the fact that the grave which contained the remains was not intact and some skulls and other bones may have been added to the grave, possibly even those of relatives of the alleged persons. For these reasons, the conclusions drawn from analyses should only have applied to the specific bones that were analysed and not to the disinterred skeletons. Further, the mitochondrial DNA analyses only provide information on the maternal lineages of those allegedly in the grave, and not for specific persons. Other shortcomings also occurred in the DNA studies, in particular the application of US and UK, and not Russian, population data in the analysis.