Possible futures for rural East Africa under a changing climate:HyCRISTAL climate narrative rural infographic and Brief
Possible futures for rural East Africa under a changing climate:HyCRISTAL climate narrative rural infographic and Brief
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气候变化下东非农村地区的可能未来：HyCRISTAL 气候叙事农村信息图和简介
DOI：
10.5281/zenodo.3257288
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发表时间：
2019
影响因子：
4.4
通讯作者：
Caroline M. Wainwright
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
L. Burgin;G. Walker;R. Cornforth;D. Rowell;J. Marsham;F. Semazzi;Geoffrey Sabiti;A. Ainslie;J. Araujo;M. Ascott;D. Clegg;A. Clenaghan;D. Lapworth;K. Lwiza;D. Macdonald;C. Petty;Caroline M. Wainwright
信息图上的故事和随附的简报中详细描述了2050年东非农村的三种可能的未来。未来几十年气候将如何变化是不确定的，因此本文包括了三种不同的、看似合理的未来，以展示这一范围。这些未来并没有涵盖气候模型预测的所有可能的结果。这些故事还描述了农村地区可能遭受的一些影响。然而，由于一系列当地因素，这些影响将在整个地区有所不同。
The stories on the infographic and detailed in the accompanying brief describe three possible futures for rural East Africa in 2050. How the climate will change in the coming decades is uncertain, so three different plausible futures are included to demonstrate this range. These futures do not cover every possible outcome projected by climate models. The stories also describe some of the resulting impacts that could be experienced in rural areas. However, these impacts will vary across the region due to a range of local factors.