Technological hype and disappointment: lessons from the hydrogen and fuel cell case
Technological hype and disappointment: lessons from the hydrogen and fuel cell case
复制标题
技术炒作与失望：氢和燃料电池案例的教训
DOI：
10.1080/09537325.2012.693662
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发表时间：
2012
影响因子：
3.4
通讯作者：
B. Budde
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Bakker;B. Budde
技术炒作是期望的有力表现，可以触发演员打破他们的等待游戏。然而，过高的期望最终会导致失望，这是有风险的。在本文中，我们研究炒作在技术轨迹中的作用，我们利用最近的氢和燃料电池炒作作为一个例子。氢气的炒作引发了一场实际的创新竞赛和一场修辞上的期望竞赛。最终的失望主要影响到那些高期望没有转化为稳定的机构和长期承诺的情况。此外，我们还研究了期望管理的概念以及创新行为者、实施者和选择支持他们的行为者（选择者）在其中可能扮演的角色。
Technological hypes are powerful manifestations of expectations and can trigger actors to break out of their waiting games. There is a risk, however, that all too high expectations eventually lead to disappointment. In this paper we study the role of hype in technological trajectories and we make use of the recent hydrogen and fuel cell hype as an example. The hydrogen hype has triggered an actual innovation race and a rhetorical expectations race. The eventual disappointment affected mostly those contexts in which high expectations were not translated into stable institutions and long-term commitments. Furthermore we investigate the notion of expectations management and the possible roles therein for the innovating actors, the enactors, and the actors that choose to support them, the selectors.