Shaky attachments: Individual-level stability and change of partisanship among West German voters, 1984–2001
Shaky attachments: Individual-level stability and change of partisanship among West German voters, 1984–2001
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摇摇欲坠的依恋：西德选民个人层面的稳定性和党派之争的变化，1984-2001
DOI：
10.1111/j.1475-6765.2006.00310.x
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发表时间：
2006
影响因子：
5.3
通讯作者：
Bernhard Christoph
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
R. Schmitt;S. Weick;Bernhard Christoph
个人选民对政党的认同，被认为是政治人格高度稳定的核心，也是政治行为的“不动者”。在这篇文章中，作者利用一个独特的纵向数据库-德国社会经济小组（GSOEP）-测试党派的高度持久性的基本前提。分析1984年至2001年期间在西德国进行的18次年度小组调查的个人数据，发现只有少数选民在整个时期内对党派关系表现出坚定的态度。使用事件历史分析，作者展示了如何从党派运动到独立和政党之间的变化受到影响：选民的个人属性，特别是认知动员;他们的社会背景的属性，特别是配偶关系和家庭星座;由情境背景，特别是竞选活动;和选民认同的政党类型。
. Individual voters’ identification with a political party is believed to be a highly stable core of the political personality, and an ‘unmoved mover’ of political behaviour. In this article, the authors take advantage of a unique longitudinal database – the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) – to test the basic premise of partisanship's high persistence. Analysing individual-level data from 18 annual panel waves conducted in West Germany between 1984 and 2001, it was found that only a minority of the electorate appears steadfast with regard to partisanship over the entire period. Using event history analysis, the authors demonstrate how movements from partisanship into independence and changes between parties are affected by: personal attributes of voters, especially cognitive mobilisation; by properties of their social contexts, in particular spousal relationships and family constellations; by situational contexts, specifically election campaigns; and by the type of party with which voters identify.