Prediction of the location and form of the auroral zone: Wandering of the auroral zone out of high latitudes
Prediction of the location and form of the auroral zone: Wandering of the auroral zone out of high latitudes
复制标题
极光带位置和形态的预测:极光带在高纬度地区的游走
DOI:
10.1029/93ja00328
复制
发表时间:
1993
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
T. Oguti
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
T. Oguti
On the basis of a forward extrapolation of secular variations in the geomagnetic field, in particular a rapid decrease in the dipole moment, wandering of the dipole axis direction and westward drifts of the nondipole components, the change in the location and form of the auroral zone for the next 1000 years is estimated. The auroral zone will tend to expand to lower latitudes because of a decrease in the dipole moment, rotate westward and become considerably deformed. In 1000 years it will no longer be a circular zone in each high latitude. A large part of Europe may be within the auroral zone in 500 years from now, and the United States and even Japan may also be in the auroral zone in 1000 years.