Assessing the 2003 CAP Reform Impacts on German Agriculture Using the Farm Group Model FARMIS
Assessing the 2003 CAP Reform Impacts on German Agriculture Using the Farm Group Model FARMIS
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使用农场集团模型 FARMIS 评估 2003 年 CAP 改革对德国农业的影响
DOI：
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发表时间：
2005
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Bernd Kuepker
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
F. Offermann;W. Kleinhanss;Silke Huettel;Bernd Kuepker
FARMIS是一个基于德国农业部门FADN数据的相对静态过程分析规划模型。最近的发展包括土地、溢价和配额市场的建模领域，以及建立一个通用的模型设计和结构，允许使用不同的数据库，如欧盟FADN。分析了2003年CAP改革对德国农业部门的影响，包括单一农场支付（SFP）和国家实施（区域模式：RM）。分析表明，两种脱钩方案对要素配置和供给的影响是相似的，但在收入效应方面存在差异。两种情况下，牛奶配额的租赁价格均下降。虽然预计在SFP下土地价格会下降，但在RM的情况下，草地的租金价格会大幅上涨。
FARMIS is a comparative-static process-analytical programming model based on FADN data for the German agricultural sector. Recent developments cover the areas of the modelling of land, premia and quota markets, and the creation of a generic model design and structure which allow the use of different databases such as the EU FADN. The impact on the German agricultural sector of 2003 CAP Reform is analysed for both the Single Farm Payment (SFP) and the national implementation (Regional Model: RM). The analysis shows that the impacts of both decoupling schemes on factor allocation and corresponding supply are similar, but differ with respect to income effects. The rental prices of milk quota decrease in both scenarios. While land prices are predicted to decrease under the SFP, in the case of the RM rental prices for grassland increase significantly.