The demography ofClethrionomys rufocanus: From mathematical and statistical models to further field studies
The demography ofClethrionomys rufocanus: From mathematical and statistical models to further field studies
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红毛密纹鼠的人口统计学：从数学和统计模型到进一步的实地研究
DOI：
10.1007/bf02765226
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发表时间：
1998
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
T. Saitoh
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
N. Yoccoz;K. Nakata;N. Stenseth;T. Saitoh
直到最近，大多数关于微齿的研究都集中在人口动态或人口统计学的模式上，而没有提供对推断模式的鲁棒性以及人口统计学和人口动态之间的联系的定量评估。一方面是统计时间序列分析方面的发展，另一方面是捕获-再捕获统计建模方面的发展，现在可以改进分析。我们回顾了捕获-再捕获统计方法的一些最新进展-限制自己的方法最相关的小型哺乳动物的人口。以日本北海道灰边田鼠为例，探讨了灰边田鼠的几种模式。然后，我们提供了一个框架，为进一步的人口统计学分析的microtine人口，包括C。红褐色的调查不同的人口参数（如生存，成熟，扩散）的相对重要性，将需要进行更大规模的研究比通常做今天，更多的努力致力于低密度阶段。特别强调的是研究设计，并针对特定的人口机制的研究实验设计。
Until recently, most studies on microtines have focused on patterns in population dynamics or demography without providing a quantitative assessment of the robustness of the inferred patterns as well as a link between demography and population dynamics. Developments in statistical time-series analysis on the one hand and in capture-recapture statistical modelling on the other hand, now allow for improved analyses. We review some of the recent developments in the capture-recapture statistical methodology — restricting ourselves to methods most relevant to the demography of small mammals. A 5-years study of the gray-sided voleClethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan was used as an example to explore some models. We then provided a framework for further demographic analysis of microtine populations, includingC. rufocanus. Investigating the relative importance of the different demographic parameters (e.g. survival, maturation, dispersal) will require studies done on larger scale than is commonly done today, with more effort devoted to the low density phase. Special emphasis is given to study-design, and to experimental designs tailored to the study of specific demographic mechanisms.