The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012: Assessing the Impacts on Water Resources to Inform Policy Makers
The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012: Assessing the Impacts on Water Resources to Inform Policy Makers
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DOI：
10.1007/s11269-012-0205-z
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发表时间：
2013-03
影响因子：
4.3
通讯作者：
S. Wade;J. Rance;N. Reynard
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Wade;J. Rance;N. Reynard
《2008年气候变化法》要求对英国气候风险进行一系列评估，无论是在当前条件下，还是在2100年前的长期内。本文描述了关于气候变化对英国水务部门的影响的研究，包括利益相关者的参与，以及文献综述、专家启发和广泛的定量分析相结合，以制定10个气候变化风险度量标准。这些措施包括使用基于英国2009年气候预测和国家统计局未来人口预测的未来情景来衡量水需求、对供应、水质和资产表现的影响。这项分析得出了一系列关键发现，有助于为英国不同地区的政策提供参考。总体而言，评估显示，英国的水资源压力可能会增加。需要在长期计划中考虑这些压力，以便在不影响环境的情况下满足不同用户的需求。
The Climate Change Act 2008 requires a series of assessments of the risks of climate for the UK, under both current conditions and over the long term, to 2100. This paper describes the research completed on the impacts of climate change on the UK water sector, involving stakeholder engagement and a mix of literature review, expert elicitation and broad-scale quantitative analysis to develop ten climate change risk metrics. These include measures of the demand for water, impacts on supply, water quality and asset performance using future scenarios based on the UK Climate Projections 2009 and future population projections from the Office for National Statistics. The analysis has resulted in a number of key findings that can help to inform policy in different parts of the UK. Overall the assessment showed that there is likely to be increased pressure on water resources in the UK. These pressures need to be considered in long term plans so that the needs of different users are met without impacting on the environment.