Modeling household relocation choice: An egalitarian bargaining approach and a comparative study
Modeling household relocation choice: An egalitarian bargaining approach and a comparative study
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DOI：
10.5198/jtlu.2021.1733
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发表时间：
2021-06
影响因子：
1.9
通讯作者：
Mingzhu Yao;Donggen Wang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Mingzhu Yao;Donggen Wang
伴随着城市的快速扩张和人口的快速增长，发展中国家的住宅搬迁逐渐成为趋势，这需要对家庭的搬迁决策有透彻的了解。以往的研究普遍将搬迁视为个人或家庭整体决策，忽视了家庭成员在做出群体决策时可能采用的互动和协作决策机制。鉴于这一研究空白，本研究探讨了应用平等主义讨价还价方法来模拟家庭关于住宅搬迁的群体决策的可行性，并进一步将其性能与纳什讨价还价和传统功利主义方法进行了比较。此外，该研究还尝试了使用潜在类建模框架适应三种可能的群体决策机制的可能性。所提出的建模方法应用于北京的实证案例研究。结果表明，基于平等主义和纳什讨价还价原则的模型比功利主义原则具有更好的模型拟合度，这表明在对家庭成员对住宅搬迁的协作选择进行建模时考虑平等主义的重要性。而且，基于纳什讨价还价的模型具有最佳的模型拟合度，表明家庭成员不再仅仅追求平均主义或功利主义，而是更有可能在公平与效率之间取得平衡。
Accompanying the rapid urban expansion and fast population growth is a progressive trend of residential relocation in developing countries, which necessitates a thorough understanding of households’ relocation decisions. Previous studies generally treated home relocation as an individual or unitary household decision, ignoring the interactive and collaborative decision-making mechanisms that household members may adopt when making group decisions. In view of this research gap, this study examines the feasibility of applying the egalitarian bargaining approach to simulating households’ group decisions concerning residential relocation and further compares its performance with the Nash bargaining and the conventional utilitarian approach. Moreover, the study experiments with the possibility of accommodating three possible group decision-making mechanisms using the latent class modeling framework. The proposed modeling approaches are applied to an empirical case study in Beijing. Results show that models based on the egalitarian and Nash bargaining principles have better model fits than the utilitarian principle, suggesting the importance of considering egalitarianism when modeling household members’ collaborative choice on residential relocation. Moreover, the model based on Nash bargaining has the best model fit, indicating that instead of merely seeking egalitarianism or utilitarianism, household members are more likely to strike a balance between fairness and efficiency.