Natural intentions: Fertility decline in the African demographic and health surveys
Natural intentions: Fertility decline in the African demographic and health surveys
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DOI：
10.1086/508791
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发表时间：
2007-01-01
影响因子：
4.4
通讯作者：
Johnson-Hanks, Jennifer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Johnson-Hanks, Jennifer
最近的许多社会模式将某些形式的行动视为揭示个人意图、愿望或偏好。例如，遵循亨利和科尔的生育率下降的正式模型采用特定的生育分布来表示“自然生育率”，即夫妇没有采取有意的行动来管理他们的生育。本文认为，这种模式的推理可以有效的，只有当文化剧目之间的意图和行动的调解是很好地建立。作者使用来自18个非洲国家的数据，将女性自我报告的意图与标准人口模型下归因于她们的意图进行了比较，发现了显著的差异。意图和结果之间的联系本身就是一种社会产品。
Many recent models of society treat certain forms of action as revealing individual intentions, aspirations, or preferences. For example, formal models of fertility decline following Henry and Coale take specific childbearing distributions to indicate "natural fertility," where couples take no intentional action to manage their reproduction. This article argues that this mode of inference can be valid only when the cultural repertoires that mediate between intentions and actions are well established. Using data from 18 African countries, the author compares women's self-reported intentions to those attributed to them under standard demographic models and finds significant discrepancies. The link between intentions and outcomes is itself a social product.