Determinants of legislative voting loyalty under different electoral systems: Evidence from Romania

Determinants of legislative voting loyalty under different electoral systems: Evidence from Romania
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不同选举制度下立法机关投票忠诚度的决定因素:来自罗马尼亚的证据

DOI:
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发表时间:
2014
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Mihail Chiru
Mihail Chiru
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Sergiu Gherghina;Mihail Chiru

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先前的研究发现,关于选举改革后议会投票行为变化的证据不一。但学者们还没有分析在这种情况下,引发投票忠诚的机制是否有不同的作用。我们的文章填补了这一空白,调查在两个立法任期的投票忠诚度的个体差异,使用26个高风险唱名表决的样本。罗马尼亚是进行这种研究的理想环境,因为它最近从封闭名单比例代表制转变为单一成员区制。多元普通最小二乘模型(包括所有议员,只包括在职者)测试议会经验,党员任期,议会办公室,政党跳跃和地区规模的影响,同时也考虑降级和一些社会人口控制。结果表明,社会化是不太重要的议会议员的投票行为后,改革,而信号通过投票异议之前,党切换变得更加相关。
Previous research has found mixed evidence regarding the change of parliamentary voting behaviour following electoral reforms. But scholars have not analysed whether the mechanisms by which voting loyalty is elicited matter differently in such cases. Our article fills this gap by investigating the individual variation in voting loyalty across two legislative terms, using a sample of 26 high-stakes roll-call votes. Romania constitutes an ideal setting for such a study due to its recent shift from closed-list proportional representation to single-member districts. Multivariate ordinary least squares models (including all Members of Parliament and including only incumbents) test for the effect of parliamentary experience, party membership duration, parliamentary office, party hopping and district magnitude, while also accounting for demotion and a number of socio-demographic controls. Results indicate that socialisation is less important for Members of Parliament’s voting behaviour after reform, whereas signalling through voting dissent prior to party switching becomes more relevant.