Roads to the Radical Right

Roads to the Radical Right
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通向极右的道路

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发表时间:
2020
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通讯作者:
Koen Damhuis
Koen Damhuis
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作者:
Koen Damhuis

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特朗普、威尔德斯、萨尔维尼、勒庞——在过去几十年里,激进的右翼领导人及其政党已经成为大多数西方民主国家重要的政治力量。他们日益增长的吸引力提出了一个日益相关的问题:谁是支持他们的选民,他们为什么这样做?学术界内外对这个问题给出了各种各样的答案。然而,奇怪的是,尽管这些现有的解释数量众多,种类繁多,但它们往往基于一个相似的假设:同质选民。因此,在激进右翼政党的选区内,具有不同背景和偏好的不同子群体可能共存的想法,无论在理论上还是在经验上,迄今为止都是不发达的。这本开创性的书是第一本系统地调查激进右翼选民异质性的书。从理论上讲,它引入了选举平等的概念来处理这种多样性。从经验上看,它依赖于创新的统计分析,以及对法国和荷兰选民进行的不少于125次生活史采访。基于这种独特的材料,该研究确定了激进右翼的不同道路,并在跨国视角下对它们进行了比较。此外,通过对吉尔特·威尔德斯和马琳·勒庞发布的近1400条推文的分析,该书展示了后者如何能够吸引不同的选民群体。总之,这本书因此提供了一系列突破性的见解,深入了解激进右翼支持的异质现象。
Trump, Wilders, Salvini, Le Pen—during the last decades, radical right-wing leaders and their parties have become important political forces in most Western democracies. Their growing appeal raises an increasingly relevant question: who are the voters that support them and why do they do so? Numerous and variegated answers have been given to this question, inside as well as outside academia. Yet, curiously, despite their quantity and diversity, these existing explanations are often based on a similar assumption: that of homogeneous electorates. Consequently, the idea that different subgroups with different profiles and preferences might coexist within the constituencies of radical right-wing parties has thus far remained underdeveloped, both theoretically and empirically. This ground-breaking book is the first one that systematically investigates the heterogeneity of radical right-wing voters. Theoretically, it introduces the concept of electoral equifinality to come to grips with this diversity. Empirically, it relies on innovative statistical analyses and no less than 125 life-history interviews with voters in France and the Netherlands. Based on this unique material, the study identifies different roads to the radical right and compares them within a cross-national perspective. In addition, through an analysis of almost 1,400 tweets posted by Geert Wilders and Marine Le Pen, the book shows how the latter are able to appeal to different groups of voters. Taken together, the book thus provides a host of ground-breaking insights into the heterogeneous phenomenon of radical right support.