Rationality of Migration

Rationality of Migration
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移民的合理性

DOI:
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发表时间:
2000
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
I. Tunali
I. Tunali
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
I. Tunali

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使用土耳其的数据,对一个理性的个人利用移徙带来的收入增加的好处的范例进行统计审查。结果与强大的选择性校正支持理性假设:移民和非移民选择的选项,他们有比较优势。然而,对很大一部分移徙者来说,从移徙中获得的收益估计是负数,而少数人则获得了很高的回报。这表明,移民是一种彩票:个人愿意投资于一个很有可能产生负回报的命题,因为有可能获得非常大的回报。2000年由宾夕法尼亚大学经济系和大坂大学社会经济研究协会研究所版权。
The paradigm of a rational individual acting on the earnings-enhancing benefits of migration is subjected to statistical scrutiny, using data from Turkey. Results with robust selectivity correction support the rationality hypothesis: Both migrants and nonmigrants chose the option in which they had comparative advantage. However, the estimated gain from moving is negative for a substantial portion of migrants, whereas a minority realize very high returns. This suggests that migration is a lottery: Individuals are willing to invest in a proposition that has a high probability of yielding negative returns because of the potential for a very large payoff. Copyright 2000 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.