The emergence of emerging technologies
The emergence of emerging technologies
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DOI：
10.2307/41166153
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发表时间：
2002-09-01
影响因子：
10
通讯作者：
Levinthal, DA
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Adner, R;Levinthal, DA
突破性技术变革的时刻有什么不连续之处？不连续性通常不在于技术本身的根本进步；相反，它源于现有技术谱系向新的应用领域的转变。无线通信和互联网等表面上的革命并不是源于一项孤立的技术突破，而是它们壮观的商业前景。当一项现有技术被重新应用于一个新的应用领域时，就产生了影响。物种形成事件的生物学概念构成了点状平衡理论的基础，它可以调和渐进式技术变化的过程与与现有技术向新的应用领域转移相关的根本性变化。这一概念可以帮助管理人员应对和潜在地利用这种变化过程。
What is discontinuous about the moment of radical technological change? Discontinuity typically does not lie in a radical advancement in technology itself; rather, it stems from a shift of an existing technical lineage to a new domain of application. Seeming revolutions such as wireless communication and the Internet did-not stem from an isolated technical breakthrough; rather, their spectacular commercial. impact was, achieved when an existing technology was re-applied in a new application domain. The biological notion of speciation events, which form the basis for the theory,of punctuated equilibrium, can reconcile the process of incremental technical change, with the radical change associated with the shift of an existing technology to a new application domain. This concept can assist managers to cope with, and potentially exploit, such change processes.