Long-Time Asymptotics of the Filtering Distribution for Partially Observed Chaotic Dynamical Systems

Long-Time Asymptotics of the Filtering Distribution for Partially Observed Chaotic Dynamical Systems
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部分可观测混沌动力系统滤波分布的长时渐近

DOI:
10.1137/140997336
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发表时间:
2014
期刊:
SIAM/ASA J. Uncertain. Quantification
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
A. Stuart
A. Stuart
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
D. Sanz;A. Stuart

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滤波分布是给定噪声观测的动态系统状态的时间演化概率分布。我们研究了离散时间,随机初始化的信号,根据一个确定性的地图$\Psi$演变的概率分布的大时间渐近性。假设观测值包括信号的低维投影,由算子P$给出,受加性噪声的影响。我们解决的问题,这些意见是否包含足够的信息,以准确地重建信号。在一个一般的框架中,我们建立了条件$\Psi$和$P$下,滤波分布集中在小噪声,长时间渐近制度的信号。线性系统,洛伦兹'63和'96模型,以及二维环面上的Navier-Stokes方程都在该理论的范围内。我们的主要研究结果来作为一个副产品的可计算的界限,独立的利益,次优过滤器的基础上新的变种…
The filtering distribution is a time-evolving probability distribution on the state of a dynamical system given noisy observations. We study the large-time asymptotics of this probability distribution for discrete-time, randomly initialized signals that evolve according to a deterministic map $\Psi$. The observations are assumed to comprise a low-dimensional projection of the signal, given by an operator $P$, subject to additive noise. We address the question of whether these observations contain sufficient information to accurately reconstruct the signal. In a general framework, we establish conditions on $\Psi$ and $P$ under which the filtering distributions concentrate around the signal in the small-noise, long-time asymptotic regime. Linear systems, the Lorenz '63 and '96 models, and the Navier--Stokes equation on a two-dimensional torus are within the scope of the theory. Our main findings come as a by-product of computable bounds, of independent interest, for suboptimal filters based on new variants...
DOI: 10.1214/13-aap951
发表时间: 2014-08-01
影响因子: 1.8
作者:
Beskos, Alexandros;Crisan, Dan;Jasra, Ajay
通讯作者: Jasra, Ajay