Does Development Aid Affect Conflict Ripeness
Does Development Aid Affect Conflict Ripeness
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发展援助是否会影响冲突成熟度
DOI：
10.1007/978-3-531-94079-3
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发表时间：
2011
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Lucie Podszun
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Lucie Podszun
许多发展中国家发现自己陷入看似棘手的内部冲突，阻碍它们进入更加稳定、安全和富裕的环境。看来，不发达和冲突是相辅相成的。不发达通常意味着大量发展援助流向战争国家。这项工作评估了发展援助的增加对冲突成熟度的影响程度。研究表明，效果是矛盾的：取决于提供的条件，是积极的还是消极的。总体而言，“发展援助的增加”会降低导致冲突成熟的因素之一的强度：互害的僵局。然而，如果将“增加发展援助”纳入明智的战略，就会增强冲突成熟的第二个因素：出路感。通过这种方式，它可以抵消负面影响，从而促进成熟阶段，为随后的和平进程创造一个理想的起点。
Many developing countries find themselves in seemingly intractable internal conflicts, hindering them from moving on into a more stable, secure and wealthy environment. It seems that underdevelopment and conflict go hand in hand. Underdevelopment most often implies large streams of development aid channeled into countries at war. The work evaluates to what extent an increase in development aid affects conflict ripeness. The research shows that the effect is ambivalent: it depends on the conditions of provision whether it is positive or negative. In general, an ‘increase in development aid’decreases the intensity of one of the ingredients to conflict ripeness: the mutually hurting stalemate. However, if embedded into a smart strategy, an ‘increase in development aid’enhances the second ingredient to conflict ripeness: the sense of a way out. By that it counterbalances the negative effect and thus fosters the phase of ripeness, creating an ideal starting position for a subsequent peace process.