The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX)

The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX)
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次季节实验(SubX)

DOI:
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发表时间:
2017
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Benjamin W. Green
Benjamin W. Green
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
B. Kirtman;K. Pegion;T. DelSole;M. Tippett;A. Robertson;Michael Bell;R. Burgman;Hai Lin;J. Gottschalck;D. Collins;Wei Li;E. Sinsky;H. Guan;Yuejian Zhu;E. Becker;E. Lajoie;K. Macritchie;D. Min;Rong Fu;D. Achuthavarier;R. Koster;L. Marshak;B. Denis;N. Barton;E. Metzger;Shan Sun;S. Benjamin;Benjamin W. Green

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亚季节试验(SubX)是一项多模式亚季节预报试验。七个全球模型正在生成17年的回顾(重新)预测和1年的每周实时预测。重新预报遵循SubX协议,该协议要求在1999-2015年间,至少有三名集合成员,至少每周进行一次初始化,并且至少有32天的长度。所有数据都在1度x 1度栅格上输出。重新预报保存在IRI数据库中,用于研究亚季节可预测性和预报。从2017年7月7日开始,每周都会发布实时预报。每个模拟小组按照与重新预报相同的方案向NOAA/NWS/NCEP/气候预测中心提供他们的预报,作为他们第3-4周气温和降水展望的指导。这些实时预报被存档在IRI数据库中供公众使用。
The subseasonal experiment (SubX) is a multi-model subseasonal prediction experiment. Seven global models are producing seventeen years of retrospective (re-) forecasts and one year of weekly real-time forecasts. Re-forecasts follow the SubX protocol that requires the years 1999-2015, at least three ensemble members, a minimum of weekly initialization, and at least 32-days in length. All data are output on a 1deg x 1deg grid. The re-forecasts are archived at the IRI Data Library for research on subseasonal predictability and predictions. The real-time forecasts are produced weekly, beginning July 7, 2017. Each modeling group provides their forecasts, following the same protocol as the re-forecasts, to the NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Climate Prediction Center as guidance for their week 3-4 temperature and precipitation outlooks. These real-time forecasts are archived for public use at the IRI Data Library.