Labour Market Responses to Immigration: Evidence from Internal Migration Driven by Weather Shocks

Labour Market Responses to Immigration: Evidence from Internal Migration Driven by Weather Shocks
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劳动力市场对移民的反应：天气冲击驱动的国内移民的证据

DOI：
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Jeremy R. Magruder
Jeremy R. Magruder
中科院分区：
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文献类型：
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作者：
Marieke Kleemans;Jeremy R. Magruder

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我们通过测量移民流动和原籍地区的降雨冲击，研究了印度尼西亚内部移民对劳动力市场的影响。据估计，移民比例每增加一个百分点，收入就会减少0.97%，就业也会减少0.24个百分点。这些影响因部门而异：就业减少集中在正规部门，而收入减少则发生在非正规部门。负面影响对低技能的本地人最为明显，即使移民具有系统的高技能。我们认为，劳动力市场的两部门性质可以解释这种模式。
We study the labour market impact of internal migration in Indonesia by instrumenting migrant flows with rainfall shocks at the origin area. Estimates reveal that a one percentage point increase in the share of migrants decreases income by 0.97% and reduces employment by 0.24 percentage points. These effects are different across sectors: employment reductions are concentrated in the formal sector, while income reduction occurs in the informal sector. Negative consequences are most pronounced for low‐skilled natives, even though migrants are systematically highly skilled. We suggest that the two‐sector nature of the labour market may explain this pattern.